Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Overprice of Corporations & Overpay of Executives in Taiwan?

Overprice of Corporations & Overpay of Executives in Taiwan?

- Blog by Steve Hwang

I wrote an article in March- “Where is my money? A salary crisis for majority class in Taiwan” and suggested a solution of minimum and competitive salary and wage. However, management in corporations and government policy makers had argued that raising wage will hurt business competitiveness and force corporations leave Taiwan for low labor cost countries.

Personally, I don’t agree with such notion that a competitive wage will hurt business environment in Taiwan, rather I believe it will attract more talents and accelerate business transition from manufacturing to concept & R&D oriented model as suggested by Stan Shi in his widely touted concept of “Smile Curve”.

Let’s look at comparison of Gross Margin among different companies. Gross Margin is the difference between the sales and the production costs.

Gross Margin Percentage = (Revenue-Cost of goods sold)/Revenue

Gross margin is a good indication of how profitable a company is at the most fundamental level.

(Gross Margin%) Dell: = 17%; Google:=63.8%; Apple: =42%; Microsoft: =81%; CISCO: =63%; Intel: =63%; IBM:= 48%; HP: =25.7%; Seagate:=25-35%

TSMC台積電:= 47.7%; Acer宏碁: =9.7%; Hon Hai富士康: =7-8%; Compal 仁寶電腦: = 4%; Wistron:= 5.2%; Qanta廣達電腦: =4%; AUO 友達光電: =12.8%

When taking a closer look at gross margin, you can find that companies in Taiwan, other than TSMC, have a gross margin range of 5-10% that are 20-50 points lower than those renowned companies in USA. A world class company can’t operate in 5-10% gross margin business model because it could not pay decent wage to employees and can’t spend sufficient funding in R&D.

Then, let’s look at Price/Earning (P/E) ratio. P/E ratio is defined as a valuation ratio of a company's current stock price compared to its per-share earnings.

(P/E) ratio: Stock Price per Share/ Earnings per Share.

For example, if a company stock is currently trading at $20 a share and earning over the last 12 months were $2.00 per share, the P/E ratio for the stock would be 10 ($20/$2).

In other words, the P/E ratio is how much money you are paying for $1 of the company's earnings. If the P/E ratio of company is 10, you are paying stock price for ten times of its earning.

So by comparing price and earnings per share for a company or country, we can analyze the market's stock valuation of a company or country and its shares relative to the profit the company is actually generating.

Let’s look at P/E ratios by country from 2009 data

(P/E Ratio):
Taiwan: P/E= 60; United Kingdom= 34; China= 29; South Korea= 29; Germany= 27; Switzerland= 26; Australia= 23; Brazil= 20; Malaysia= 18; Hong-Kong = 16; India= 15; Mexico= 15; USA=14; Canada=13; Singapore=12; France=11; Italy= 10; Russia=6.

Companies listed in stock exchange in Taiwan have an average of P/E ratio = 60, that is two times higher than main competitor, South Korea, and 3-4 times higher than other competitive countries, Hong-Kong and Singapore.

While comparing to well-established stock market in USA, they have a rational P/E ratio of 13-15. It means that stock investors in Taiwan pay stock price of 3-4 times higher than for the companies in USA.

What a P/E ratio of 60 means! It means that companies in Taiwan are overvalued and executives who are compensated by common stocks are overpaid by 2-4 times or more as compared to other countries.

It doesn't makes any sense that companies and executives in Taiwan are overly compensated by hefty company value and stock price while majority of workers can’t receive a competitive salary and wage.

Above is my thought. What’s yours?

2 comments:

  1. It is very good description so that based on two indicators you mention we can have major background of Taiwan companies financial situation compared to non Tw corps. Now, I wonder that can we find the source of Tw corps low level of gross margin percentage and high level of P/E ratio? I`m not really sure since my background is more in economics than finance. But maybe for the first indicator the problem will be too high cost of good sold that maybe harm the market and if it keeps until long term maybe the affect could be worse. And for the P/E ratio..too many tricts in the stock market that I couldn`t understand until now (:D). But the point is that...I`m wondering the direct relation between the two ratios and the wage. Maybe you are right..the wage might not the main cause of high cost of good sold. Need further investigation though. Thank you for sharing your though Mr. Steven.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Dear Galuh,

    There area few reasons of why companies in
    Taiwan have low gross margin;

    1. Most of companies have a manufacturing oriented business model which has low entrance barrier. In order to keep competitors from entering the business, companies drive down cost to win contract, hence reduce gross margin

    2. Vast of labor available in China or low wage areas in Asia, for driving down cost; so even with 5% gross margin, companies can operate profitable. While companies in high salary/wage area, like USA, can’t be profitable with 5% gross margin for high tech industry.

    3. Investors prefer and focus on short term, more predictable, manufacturing type of business, instead of high risk, and high reward concept/R&D oriented business.

    The reason of high P.E. in Taiwan is largely due to vast of numbers stock buyers. From students, house wives, grand pa & mom, to professional stock traders, almost they all buy, sell and own stocks in Taiwan.

    Many buys and sells are based on rumor, speculation and hearsays. Plus bad companies/management artificially drive up stock price via feeding false information to massive investors. Unfortunately, such fever of owning stock in Taiwan fuels high P/E ratio and discourages companies moving to high gross margin, long term type of business.

    Keep in touch,

    Steve

    ReplyDelete